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At the current rate of growth, PS3 sales will overtake those of the Xbox 360 in January 2011...
TVG research has shown that at each console's current rate of growth, sales of PlayStation 3 units will overtake those of the Xbox 360 in January 2011 according to sales figures published by Microsoft and Sony to-date.
Since being launched in November 2006 (March 2007 in Europe), the PS3 has tallied 24.6 million units according to Sony's latest fiscal report, whereas Microsoft has sold 30.2 million Xbox 360s since its launch in November 2005.
When we plotted these sales against a line of best fit and extended that line to project a 10-year lifecycle for each console, the PS3's sales overtook the Xbox 360's in January 2011, approximately five years into the current-gen lifecycle.
Graphs showing these extended sales projections can be found here for the PS3 and here for the Xbox 360.
While this is merely an estimation of future sales according to current sales trends, it does nonetheless reveal that Sony has been selling PS3s at a faster rate than Microsoft has Xbox 360s. This is despite higher total sales for Microsoft's console, which are the result of a one year head start on the market.
Future price cuts for each console, changing market factors such as HD adoption, and unreleased technology (e.g. Project Natal and the PS3 Slim) will no doubt alter current growth rates in the future months and years. Nonetheless, our findings do fly in the face of currently accepted wisdom in the industry.
Find out more in our Console Wars: 7th Generation feature.
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Added:Fri 02nd Mar 2012 17:07, Post No: 1168
@robert young, vgchartz reliable lmfao, according to VGC forza 4 had sold 2 million copies as of jan 2012 then last month it had sold 1.94 million :S, thats right in 1 month 600 thousand copies of forza 4 were recalled or VGC made a monumental co** up with their sales figures.
the same is true with their console sales figures as pretty much all of last year the ps3 month on month outsold the 360 and even now the ps3 continues to outsell the 360 yet the 360 some how is still 3 million in front of the ps3, you should use freeradical's post as VGC is about as reliable as a 1980's skoda.
Added:Thu 18th Aug 2011 18:12, Post No: 1167
@ Robert Young: Try Sony and Microsoft's actual financial reports. They are the only reliable source for worldwide console sales/shipments.
Added:Thu 18th Aug 2011 17:45, Post No: 1166
videochartz => vgchartz......LOL....:-)........
Added:Thu 18th Aug 2011 17:44, Post No: 1165
My previous blog of 360 lead over PS3 is not "guess estimate". Those numbers were taken from a reputable website that unfortunately, this website prohibited me from quoting. This website is so reputable that companies use their numbers for their own studies; videochartz......
Added:Thu 18th Aug 2011 17:26, Post No: 1164
Well it is August 2011 now, PS3 fanboys. Where is the lead of PS3 "overtaking" the 360 by January 2011? Yeah, the PS3 sales are inching closer to the 360 but, as of Aug 2011, it is still that - "inching closer". As of August 2011, the worldwide lead of 360 over PS3 is 3.4 million. The U.S. lead of 360 over PS3 is 12.282 million. Also, here in the U.S., as of Dec 2008, the 360 lead was 7.98 mil. As of Dec 2009, the 360 lead was 8.64 mil. As of Dec 2010, the 360 lead was 11.34 mil. And that brings us to Aug. 2011. So, don't predict stuff that will fall flat on your faces, LOL ;-)..........
Added:Mon 01st Aug 2011 20:21, Post No: 1163
@1162, what extra content? do you mean the welcome back pack, with the 5 games, stuff for sony home and various other games and the free month of playstation plus? we've already had it, where was you? lol
Added:Wed 27th Jul 2011 14:44, Post No: 1162
what are sony playing at, wheres all the extra content the promised oh i forgot sony never keep a promise.
Added:Thu 30th Jun 2011 14:03, Post No: 1161
Sony denying the blatantly obvious? Surely not!
Added:Thu 09th Jun 2011 04:47, Post No: 1160
lol i looked back through the comment and post 1154 is a blatent lier, hes just jelous microsoft is better than sony.
Added:Sat 04th Jun 2011 21:13, Post No: 1159
well the welcome back pack finally arrived yesterday and what a mess it was, i guess sony thought it was a good idea to release it in all regions rather than america first moving roung the globe in a way that would not hinder people from getting the free content or causing a lot of confusion when people saw the "get now" link vanish and had to look for guides as to get their free content.
one thing i didnt know about the welcome back pack was the inclusion of 3 FREE full HD movie rentals, if you didnt know about it look on the XMB in the orange box (under account management) and you should find it though i think it expires on the 5th (sunday,tomorrow) so get them while you can.